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[integer@www.god-emil.dk]

zlaver!.zerfdom.uage.earn!ng.



>Sorry to have to clarify this for everyone, but what is happening, at
>least in the US, is at once more complex and less mysterious.


zlaver!.zerfdom.uage.earn!ng.




>Fortunately, its also right in front of your nose for anyone who cares
>to take their eyes off their laptops for a moment.
>        That great sucking sound you hear is the rush of fairly well educated
>college graduates flowing into all kinds of jobs in the technology field
>(very broadly defined) after about twenty years of unemployment or
>underemployment. Obviously, few of these people have computer science
>backgrounds because those fields of endeavor didn't even exist ten years
>ago, much less twenty years. Although some have retrained by taking
>classes in BASIC or web page design, many are self taught. They are the
>pool of employees for companies like Microsoft, Oracle, or Amazon, where
>someone with a Ph.D. in Classical Greek can get a pretty good job if
>they can write HTML, work a database, or have a real world background
>like (gasp!) working in a bookstore. 
>        Here, in the best of all possible worlds, many of these people held
>jobs over the last twenty years in a variety of underemployment
>situations. They worked in bookstores and bistros, carpentry, light
>construction, ski instruction, taught English at community college, or
>had a folk music band.  When they got sucked up (in income at least)
>into the techno vortex, they left behind them thousands of jobs in every
>field of endeavor. 
>        The situation is well documented here.  Waiters in good restaurants now
>get paid vacations, health club memberships, and investment plans,
>because its difficult to find anyone to fill service industry jobs.  My
>carpenter can't work on my project because he is taking his family to
>Denmark to study energy conservation for a few months. My other
>carpenter now installs Ethernet networks in homes and doesn't do
>remodels anymore. The woman that used to cut my hair now works as a
>network admin. My yoga guru doesn't have time to teach because she
>builds web pages for the world's largest company. And so on....
>        But of course it all flows downhill.  Anyone interested in work has no
>problem finding it these days in many areas of the US, and if they are
>having trouble they can probably move somewhere else. The low end jobs
>are now paying quite well. My gardener is paid $25 hour, which is more
>than what I make. It is this second wave effect that has really wiped
>out unemployment in huge numbers, and it is what will wipe out
>unemployment in Europe soon. It is not necessary for everyone to go to
>work for a dot com; only a few have to go to open up new jobs for many
>more.  And I haven't even begun to discuss the growth in the service
>sector for jobs for people with no time, like picking up dry cleaning
>and delivering meals...  
>
>No need to thank me,
>
>Mike 
>
>
>
>
>cisler wrote:
>> 
>> In my presentation at tulipomania I showed the chart of the kinds of jobs
>> produced here in Silicon Valley. In absolute numbers they were: computer
>> engineers, systems analysts, general managers, programmers, janitors, waiters,
>> guards, ,math/sci engineers, and receptionists. the diagram is here:
>> http://www.jointventure.org/siliconvalley2010/images/fig5.gif
>> 
>> That means that the hotbed of innovation is producing few middle class jobs
>> (except programmer) and lots of service jobs plus tons of temp work, but that's
>> a whole other trend.
>> 
>> In other regions I'm sure there are less tech jobs being created and more
>> service jobs.
>> 
>> Steve Cisler




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