Ivo Skoric on Fri, 28 Sep 2001 12:56:18 +0200 (CEST) |
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<nettime> Losing the new war at home |
The $43 million dollars this Spring bought Taliban fatwah against opium growers (they declared the opium growing against the will of God, and you know what happens to those who oppose the will of God under Taliban) - but by destroying the ONLY remaining source of Afghan economy, the US played right into Osama's hands, by giving him more soldiers (and more money to train them). Taliban strike me as a particularly restrictive, rigid, ascetic sect, 'arid', as the country in which they are set, that's only orientationally based in Islam, vague in almost anything else except for its hate of others and associated pleasure - the only allowed pleasure - in the calling for destruction of their otherness. Christianity was riven by sects and movements like that throughout the medieval period. That's precisely why we shouldn't be surprised with their blowing up Buddha statues: http://www.globeandmail.com/travel/stories/globe/buddha.html The UK Times, Sep 21, article saying that - "Winter will close access to much of the country; whether there are stocks of food or not will be irrelevant as the tracks become impassable to the vehicles that could deliver the supplies that might save their lives." - suggests that Afghanistan is, indeed, in its medieval period - somewhere around European 13th-14th century. It was brought there and it was kept there for about hundred years by the "Great Game" of three great empires - British, Soviet and American - and all three, I think, are now responsible to work together and pick Afghanis out of the mess in which their "game" threw them. There is nothing there except huge mountains and a lot of dust. But the place had an unfortunately pleasant strategic location from the perspective of soft-spoken diplomats from the posh European salons of the past two centuries. First the British tried to contain the Russians, and Russians tried to contain the British - both never contemplating curbing their own expansionist tendencies. Then the Russians became Soviets, and containing them became even more important, an imperative for the ruling class of the moeyed world! And when British military became obsolete and useless with its disastrous losses in the WW II, the torch of containing Soviets was passed on to Americans. But - both sea- going empires - neither were particularly succesful in opposing Russians so close to the Russian motherland. They were only succesful in gradually grinding and tearing up the poor country, that was unfortunate enough to find itself in the friction zone between their spheres of interest. Finally, Soviets lost patience in the Great Game and invaded Afghanistan. The US responded by doing to Soviets the same what Soviets did to the US in Vietnam - arm and train the guerillas. It worked in Vietnam. It worked in Afghanistan. Soviets lost. However, unlike the US after Vietnam, Soviet Union not only lost the war, it lost the empire. They crumbled and the cold war was over. With the end of the cold war, the 'Great Game' was, also, over, and, suddenly, Afghanistan lost importance for anybody, and they all abandoned it, after messing it up so royally, that the country still holds two ominous world records: in the number of refugees and in the number of landmines. With several well armed groups and neither government, nor economy, the country promptly descended into a bloody civil war from which the worst possible totalitarian regime emerged promising to restore law and order. What a perfect place for a rich, intelligent and sophisticated - he, allegedly, even made money on oil and gold futures, as an insider who knew what is going to happen to world markets on September 11 - succesful global terrorist like Osama Bin Laden! The perfect proverbial swamp. Now, again, everybody is interested in Afghanistan (proving that terrorism IS indeed a useful media tool). Russians, busily arming Northern Alliance (Massoud's heir, allegedly, is pro-Russian, unlike the French student, Massoud was), are particularly keen on drawing the US into a war there - because they have nothing to lose - either the US would win, and eliminate their Islam fundamentalist problem on their Southern borders, or the US would lose and become weaker - Russians win in both cases. That should raise a few flags in the US intelligence community. But then, hmmm, is there such a community in this country? I've heard that CIA does not have the agent proficient in the language that Taliban speak, so the British agents are in the field, reportedly. Well, that always reminds me that there is a reason that Austin Powers wears the underwear with the British and not with the American flag on it. A classic military action, would not only be morally wrong (given that the Afghanistan's current situation is the fault of superpowers), but utterly ineffective from the military point of view. Russians tried absolutely everything except nuclear weapons and still lost the war. This war obviously cannot be won by conventional warfare. This war can be won only from the inside by the Afghanis themselves - and that would require a lot of patience among the global public. One thing is interesting: there should be a reason why it was easier for Al Qaeda to blow up WTC than for Taliban to conquer Northern Afghanistan - Hindu-Kush range is obviously more serious an obstacle than two oceans. Maybe it would change name to Taliban-Kush once. Here, Nancy Soderberg delivers a U.S. 'fatwah' against Osama Bin Laden to the U.N. Security Council in 1998 calling for a Holy War against terrorism in a wake of the two embassies bombings: http://www.usinfo.state.gov/topical/pol/terror/98120801.htm As the Taliban came to power on the premise of restoring law and order - the terrorist actions committed on American soil, by people sponsored by an organization hiding in their country, raised forces that are trying to "Talibanize" U.S. on the same premise - law and order was always used as a rationale for increasing authoritarian, totalitarian aspects of any state. The recent news of banning 1200 songs in the U.S. on certain radio stations serve as a potent, sad reminder of that rationalization. This is also true for the proposal, now facing Congressional vote, that would let authorities detain indefinitely legal non-citizen crime suspects in the U.S. If we let American freedoms be taken away by the Congress one by one, because we suddenly feel that we need more security, then we shall have nothing to fight for any more, because we would have surrendered our way of life without a fight. This is a primer on homeland security plans - offered by obviously well informed (and "well connected", perhaps) private think-tank: http://www.homelandsecurity.org/bulletin/primer.htm While we are all now mostly concerne with air travel, Al Qaeda is probably developing something entirely unrelated. Still, I don't know anubody who is glad to sit in an airplane, lately. Guns on the plane may depressurize cabin if they make a hole in the fuselage. Why pilots or agents or stewards are not given some of those non-lethal gizmos so much touted just a few months ago? I thought of bringing an umbrella with me - that's not prohibited and may serve as a good protection against a short box-cutter knife. Or, maybe, thick boxing gloves. Any other ideas? Ivo Skoric, a non-citizen legal resident of the U.S. # distributed via <nettime>: no commercial use without permission # <nettime> is a moderated mailing list for net criticism, # collaborative text filtering and cultural politics of the nets # more info: majordomo@bbs.thing.net and "info nettime-l" in the msg body # archive: http://www.nettime.org contact: nettime@bbs.thing.net